US allies still smarting from Washington's delays in outreach after Kabul fell on August 15
Leaders of the G7 advanced economies are expected to pledge unity on whether or not to officially recognize or sanction the Taliban when they meet virtually to discuss Afghanistan on Tuesday, according to two diplomatic sources.
US allies are still smarting from Washington's delays in outreach after Kabul fell on August 15, and foreign diplomats in Washington said cooperation will be a key theme of the call.
"The G7 leaders will agree to coordinate on if or when to recognize the Taliban," said one European diplomat. "And they will commit to continue to work closely together."
The Taliban's lightning-fast takeover of the country this month, after US troops started to withdraw and President Ashraf Ghani fled, left foreign governments scrambling and sparked a panicked mass exodus from the country.
Leaders of the US, Britain, Italy, France, Germany, Canada, and Japan may use the possibility of unified official recognition, or renewed sanctions to push the Taliban to comply with pledges to respect women's rights and international relations.
British Prime Minister Boris Johnson will stress a unified approach during the G7 talks, which will also include Nato Secretary General Jen Stoltenberg and UN Secretary General Antonio Guterres, said Karen Pierce, Britain's envoy to the US.
“We want to start the process of developing a clear plan, so that we can all deal with the new Afghan regime in a unified and concerted way," Pierce told Reuters. "We will judge the new regime by actions, not words."
Recognition is a political act taken by sovereign states with important consequences, including allowing the Taliban access to the foreign aid relied upon by previous Afghan governments.
A 2020 agreement signed by the former Trump administration explicitly states that the group "is not recognized by the US as a state."
The tool of recognition is "one of the most important remaining pieces of leverage that we have," said Annie Pforzheimer, a retired US diplomat who served as the deputy chief of mission at the US Embassy in Kabul from 2017 to 2018.
It would be "infinitely more powerful" if it is well coordinated and ensures that the new government is inclusive and recognizes Afghanistan’s human rights commitments, she said.
G7 leaders will also discuss a possible extension of Biden's August 31 deadline for withdrawing US forces, to give the US and other countries more time to locate and evacuate Western citizens, Afghans who aided Nato and US forces and other vulnerable people, the sources said.
Britain and France are pressing for more time, but a Taliban official said foreign forces had not sought an extension and it would not be granted if they did
G7 leaders will also commit to coordinate on any sanctions and resettlement of a wave of refugees, the sources said.
The G7 will take stock of the current evacuation efforts and commit to coordinating closely on further steps, including security, humanitarian assistance and resettlement of refugees, Pierce said.
"We want to work together to convey the very important point that we don't want Afghanistan to be a breeding ground for terrorism. We don't want it to lapse into its pre 9/11 state," she said.
Germany will press G7 partners to commit additional funds for humanitarian aid, German Foreign Minister Heiko Maas said on Monday. "I believe the G7 countries should live up to their responsibilities and find a response to mitigate the acute humanitarian hardship that's already prevalent in the region and that will increase over the coming weeks."
Biden told reporters on Sunday that the US was already working with the Taliban to facilitate the evacuations, but that the Islamist group was "seeking legitimacy" in the longer term.
That meant it would need "additional help in terms of economic assistance, trade, and a whole range of things," but the international response - including potential sanctions - would depend on their actions going forward.