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Dhaka Tribune

Russia's role in recapturing Aleppo

Update : 15 Dec 2016, 09:18 PM

Russia's President Vladimir Putin has retained his place at the top of the Forbes list of the world's most powerful people, after a year in which the Kremlin dominated foreign affairs and ignored the United States, with its lame duck President Barack Obama.

When Russian President Vladimir Putin launched the Kremlin's bombing campaign in Syria last year to back up leader Bashar al-Assad, the regime's forces were being pushed back.

Now Damascus is celebrating its biggest victory in over five years of war after recapturing control of the rebel bastion in the east of the city and dealing a hammer blow to those looking to oust Assad.

Here's how Russia helped break the stalemate:

Turning the tables

Russian warplanes played a central role in bludgeoning rebel-held parts of Aleppo towards defeat with a brutal campaign that stirred memories of Putin's destruction of the Chechen capital Grozny in 1999-2000.

Although Assad's opponents finally gave up after Moscow said it halted air strikes on the city in October, Russia's bombers had already pulverised rebel defences for months, allowing the Syrian leader's forces to tighten their siege.

While Moscow insists its troops are not fighting on the frontlines, it admits it has military advisers on the ground supporting Assad's forces.

In addition to helping turn the tide militarily, Russia's presence also made sure of one thing: there would be no intervention from the West in Aleppo – despite an outcry over the bloodshed.

As the operation intensified, Moscow demonstratively bolstered its hi-tech air defences in the skies over Syria and sent more warships – including its only aircraft carrier – to patrol the shores off the war-torn country.

A pyrrhic victory?

For the Kremlin, victory in Aleppo can be seen as a stunning triumph to crown Moscow's first intervention outside the former Soviet region since the disastrous Afghanistan campaign.

Russia has helped thrust Assad into a position of strength while breaking the back of more moderate rebels groups supported by Washington and its allies.

Putin now appears the undisputed kingmaker in Syria and a key player across the entire Middle East. And he cut the US and Europe out of the loop on Aleppo by dealing directly with Turkey's Recep Tayyip Erdogan.

Blistering international criticism did eventually see Russia claim to halt its Aleppo strikes in October in the move the Kremlin called a "manifestation of goodwill".

What's next?

Just as Russia was about to hail the fall of Aleppo, bad news emerged from elsewhere.

As Assad's troops focused Syria's second city, Islamic State group jihadists seized back control of the ancient city of Palmyra eight months after Damascus and Moscow retook it.

The loss was both a major blow for Putin – for whom the capture of the World Heritage site had been a major propaganda coup – and a potentially worrying sign of things to come.

The shock IS advance highlighted how tough Assad's forces will find it to keep a lid on areas they control – and showed that Syria's protracted war is still far from over.

The defeat of the rebels in Aleppo has so far not been accompanied by any progress towards a negotiated end to the conflict.

An emboldened Assad may now prove even more difficult for Moscow to bring to the table, which could hamper any efforts to scale back Russian operations there.

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