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Israel-Abbas ties warming but peace talks unlikely

  • Published at 06:57 pm October 5th, 2021
Benny Gantz Mahmud Abbas
Palestinian President Mahmud Abbas, left and Israeli Defence Minister Benny Gantz AFP

For Abbas and his Palestinian Authority, talking to Israel is partly about "taking advantage of the diplomatic context", an analyst says

Recent visits by three Israeli cabinet ministers to Palestinian president Mahmud Abbas indicate both sides are keen to promote stability and improve ties, even if peace talks remain off the table for now.

The Israeli coalition led by hardline nationalist Prime Minister Naftali Bennett -- which includes left-wingers and Islamists -- has no common position on ending the decades-long Palestinian conflict, complicating any formal diplomatic negotiations. 

But Bennett has said his government will aim to improve economic conditions in the West Bank, a Palestinian territory under Israeli military occupation since 1967. 

For Abbas, who was largely ignored by Bennett's predecessor Benjamin Netanyahu, moves by Israel to bolster his position would likely be welcome, analysts said. 

A poll last month by the Palestinian Center for Policy and Survey Research found that 80% of Palestinians want Abbas to resign, an unprecedented figure reflecting deep frustration with the 86-year-old leader.

Only 19% of respondents believe Abbas's secular Fatah movement deserves to lead the Palestinian people, with 45% preferring Hamas, the Islamist movement which controls the Israeli-blockaded Gaza Strip. 

'Take advantage'  

For Abbas and his Palestinian Authority -- facing mounting anger over endemic corruption and a crackdown on human rights activists -- talking to Israel is partly about "taking advantage of the diplomatic context", said Uzi Rabi, director of the Moshe Dayan Middle East Research Center at Tel Aviv University.

That context, Rabi said, is shaped by an Israeli coalition that includes leaders committed to a two-state solution and, for the first time ever, an Arab-Israeli party. 

US President Joe Biden's administration is also seen as far more sympathetic to the Palestinians than Donald Trump, accused of egregious bias towards Israel. 

The first high-level Israeli visit to Abbas in Ramallah, which came days after Bennett met Biden in Washington, was by Defence Minister Benny Gantz. 

Bennett is the former head of a lobby group representing Jewish settlers, who live in West Bank communities considered illegal under international law, and he opposes the creation of a Palestinian state. 

After Gantz met Abbas, a source close to the premier clarified that the discussions were on security issues and that there would be no "peace" talks during Bennett's premiership. 

But on Sunday, Abbas received Health Minister Nitzan Horowitz, Regional Cooperation Minister Issawi Freij and lawmaker Michal Rozin, all from the left-wing Meretz party, part of the ruling coalition.

"We have a common mission," Horowitz wrote on Twitter. 

"To maintain the hope of a peace founded on the two-state solution." The tweet included a photo of him standing with Abbas.

Ultimatum 

As Abbas has stepped up his diplomacy with Israel, he has also maintained a hard rhetorical line.

In an address to the United Nations General Assembly last month, he said that if Israel did not withdraw from all occupied territory within a year, he would no longer recognise the Jewish state based on pre-1967 borders.

Rabi said Abbas's goal with that unrealistic ultimatum was to suggest that if there was no progress on peace talks during his tenure as president, a "chaotic" situation could result. 

Palestinian analyst Diana Buttu stressed the limitations of Abbas's dealings with Israel, saying the Jewish state was open to discussing humanitarian issues, but it "does not want to hear about rights or political freedoms".

For Khalil Shaheen, a veteran Palestinian analyst and journalist, Abbas is betting that he can create "momentum" that pressures Bennett into reviving moribund peace talks. 

But that strategy could prove "ineffective" because Bennett's ideologically disparate coalition is more focused on its own survival than on peace talks with the Palestinians, Shaheen told AFP. 

This "Israeli government has agreed to avoid controversial subjects like the Palestinian question that could tear it up at any moment," he said.     


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